2024 House Elections 538. According to 538โs final house forecast, the republican party is in real danger of losing the chamber entirely in 2024. Here is the outstanding house race as of thursday, nov.
An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2024 house of representatives elections. On average, when looking at the 2006 through 2022 elections, a version of our forecast that uses just polls and fundamentals predicts the wrong winner in contested house elections just 4 percent.